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Showing posts with label fantasy football. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fantasy football. Show all posts

Saturday, October 8, 2016

Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings - Standard and PPR Leagues

Week 5 Rankings - Standard and PPR.
Here are the Week 5 Rankings, now for both Standard and PPR leagues!

I should point out:

Players in orange are an "injury concern." Some have already been ruled out - like Trevor Siemian, and Cam Newton. Pay attention!

The Carolina WRs are ranked way too highly. You should start Kelvin Benjamin, but Philly Brown is only a deep league dart throw. They just got a HUGE boost from how bad Tampa Bay is against the WR position.

It says it below, but when two players from the same team are both in the same tier, take the highest one that will play. This week, Cameron Brate and Brandon Myers are both Tier 2 TEs. You're playing Brate, and you are NOT playing Myers.

Some things to consider when using these rankings:

  • Use at your own risk,. I am sharing something I do personally to help me slot players each week. 
  • I DO NOT TAKE OWNERSHIP OR RESPONSIBILITY IN ANY WAY FOR THE DECISIONS YOU MAKE REGARDING FANTASY FOOTBALL. NOR DO I OFFER ANY OFFICIAL ADVICE. Seriously. Be an adult.
  • This is meant to be a guide. It's purely by the numbers - no "eye test" involved. If you have a gut feeling that the ranking of a player is too high, or too low, you might be right!
  • There will be a few players that slip through that are on IR, designated as "Out" for the week, etc. See, the thing is, I have a real job, and then I have this hobby. If/when I ever get paid to do this for a living, I can assure you there will be a QA process. Until then, just pay attention, and check the injury reports.
  • You will also sometimes notice that two players, from the same team, in the same position, are ranked - sometimes highly. This is because I use a "Points Against" weighting system when evaluating players. Averages have a "Defensive Weight" added to them, and sometimes, it's substantial. When this happens:
    • Pick the highest rated player, in that position, on that team, that is most likely to play.
    • For example, you own both Isaiah Crowell, and Duke Johnson, Jr. from the Cleveland Browns. Good job - you probably drafted one of these guys as a handcuff. You're smart. In this scenario, both Crowell and Johnson are both highly ranked, because their opponent sucks at stopping the rush. However, Crowell is the #1 overall RB in Week 4 of 2016. Continue to be smart by playing Crowell, and sitting Johnson. You do not play both. That would dumb.
    • In unusual circumstances, you might end up playing BOTH players. This is usually in cases of 2 WRs. I generally try to point that out on the podcast.
  • Players are in "Tiers." Technically, according to the way I do the stats, the first and last guys in the same tier are likely to have similar games/stats. The key word there is likely.
Good Luck!

Drew

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Ep. 103 - Fat Guys Fantasy Football Podcast


[MP3] Listen and/or download directly.

Running Time: 1:44:20

Fat Guys Fantasy Football
December 12, 2015
Episode 103


Intro
  • Jeff and Drew - the not-so-fat, fat guys here to help you finish first and crush your league
  • Today’s Show: The TNF Recap, Headlines, notable injuries and suspensions, Mick - The Fantasy Football Prodigy, Week 14 Starts and Sits, and The Wire.
  • What are we drinking?
    • Lavazza Kilimanjaro Single Source Coffee
  • Let’s get into the show...


Thursday Night Recap
  • What We Learned
    • Arizona can score from anywhere
    • Minnesota just doesn’t have the firepower to keep up with upper-echelon teams.


Headlines


Injury / Suspension Report
  • OUT
    • Andre Ellington
    • De’Anthony Thomas
    • Andrew Hawkins
    • Vance McDonald
    • Jermaine Gresham
    • Peyton Manning
    • Chris Thompson
    • Julian Edelman
    • Marshawn Lynch
    • Kendall Wright
    • Stevie Johnson
    • Damond Powell
    • Karlos Williams
    • Tony Romo
    • Carlos Hyde
    • Andrew Luck
  • Game Time Decisions
    • Doubtful
      • Crockett Gillmore
      • Marlon Brown
    • Questionable
      • Scott Chandler
      • Taiwan Jones
      • Matt Schaub
      • Ronnie HIllman
      • CJ Anderson
      • Brian Hartline
      • Kenny Stills
      • Lance Moore
      • Zach Miller
      • Vernon Davis
      • Andre Roberts
      • Derek Carrier
      • Calvin Johnson
      • Jarvis Landry
      • Jordan Matthews
      • Rob Gronkowski
      • Marlon Moore
      • Travis Benjamin
      • Gary Barnidge
      • Bryan Walters
      • Danny Amendola
      • Rishard Matthews
      • Ty Montgomery
      • Torrey Smith
      • Eddie Royal
    • Probable


Starts/ Sits -  Playoffs Bitches!!!
  • Drew
    • Starts
      • Jameis Winston vs New Orleans Saints
        • Picking on New Orleans continues
      • Jonathan Stewart vs Atlanta Falcons
        • Falcons Rush D = not good last 5 weeks
        • Playing on the road against the hottest team in the league
        • Don’t get cute
      • Marvin Jones vs Pittsburgh Steelers
      • Clive Walford vs Denver Broncos
      • New England Defense vs Houston Texans


    • Sits
      • Tampa Bay Defense vs New Orleans Saints
      • Philip Rivers vs Kansas City Chiefs
      • Todd Gurley vs Detroit Lions
      • Latavius Murray vs Denver Broncos
      • DeSean Jackson vs Chicago Bears
      • Delanie Walker vs New York Jets
  • Jeff
    • Starts
      • Doug Baldwin vs. Baltimore Ravens
        • Has been a top 5 WR over the last 5 weeks
      • Shaun Draughn vs. Cleveland Browns
        • Sheer volume over a bottom ranked rush defense
      • Kansas City D vs. San Diego Chargers
        • Is San Diego even going to suit up a WR for this game?
      • Frank Gore vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
        • More of a volume play here, and feel the Colts try to take the pressure off Matthew Hasselbeck.
      • Ronnie Hillman vs. Oakland Raiders
        • Big caveat is if CJ Anderson plays, you have to depress Hillman to a flex.  Right now if Anderson misses the game I think Ronnie is a RB2.


    • Sits
      • Cleveland Brown D vs San Francisco 49ers
      • Philip Rivers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
      • Amari Cooper vs Denver Broncos
        • Cooper has been eclipsed as the #1 receiver in Oakland
      • DeAndre Hopkins vs. New England Patriots
        • Late add to injury report for a hamstring injury and that always makes me nervous.
      • Todd Gurley vs. Detroit Lions
        • You probably have to start him but I absolutely hate the matchup and he has been bottled up for weeks now.
      • Jordan Matthews vs. Buffalo Bills
        • I know it's just your flex, but these are where playoff games are won and lost, and Jordan is a late add to the injury report.  I liked the matchup, but not now.
  • Mick’s
    • Starts
      • Derek Carr
      • CJ Anderson
      • Antonio Gates
    • Sits
      • Jeremy Hill
      • Lamar Miller
      • Denver D


The Wire - Just look to solidify your team, don’t get cute.
  • Standard Leagues
    • James White (49%)
    • Tyrod Taylor (54%)
    • Shaun Draughn (64%)
    • Michael Floyd (70%)
    • Jacob Tamme (37%)
    • Richard Rodgers (57%)
    • Austin Seferian-Jenkins (58%)
    • DeVante Parker (43%)
    • Ameer Abdullah (60%)
    • Karlos Williams (35%)
    • Benjamin Watson (66%)
    • Dorial Green-Beckham (25%)
    • Ryan Mathews (52%)
    • James Starks (56%)
    • Jay Ajayi (14%)
  • Deeper Looks
    • Jay Cutler (42%)
    • Jameis Winston (47%)


Outro


DONE.

Wednesday, November 11, 2015

Ep. 094 - Fat Guys Fantasy Football Podcast


[MP3] Listen and/or download directly.

Running Time: 59:52

Fat Guys Fantasy Football
November 11th, 2015
Episode 094


Intro
  • Jeff and Drew - the not-so-fat, fat guys here to help you finish first and crush your league
  • Today’s Show: The Week 9 Recap, Headlines, The Injury Report, Big Performances/Disappointments, The Wire, and a TNF Preview.
  • What we are drinking.
    • LaPhroaig 10 yr Scotch
  • Let’s get into the show...


What We Got Right/Wrong
  • Right
    • Marcus Mariota
    • LeSean McCoy
    • Antonio Andrews
    • Brandon Lafell
    • Sleeper: Dorial Green-Beckham (ho hum day, but look at those targets)
    • Jordan Reed
      • Willing to call us both right here
        • TD to save his day, but almost nothing else NE is brutal to TEs
    • Derek Carr
    • Rashad Jennings
    • Carolina D
    • Oakland D
    • Pittsburgh D
  • Wrong
    • Miami D
    • Atlanta D
    • Andrew Luck
    • Jordan Matthews
    • Ronnie Hillman
    • Dez Bryant


News - Byes: Falcons, Colts, Chargers, 49ers

Injury Report - ESPN and Fantasy Football Toolbox
  • TNF -
    • Out
      • Percy Harvin
    • Doubtful
      • Bilal Powell


Performances to Discuss
  • Big Days
    • Aaron Rodgers
    • Marcus Mariota
    • Drew Brees
    • Cam Newton
    • Derek Carr
    • DeAngelo Williams
    • Adrian Peterson
    • Lamar Miller
    • Karlos Williams
    • LeGarrette Blount
    • Antonio Brown
    • Sammy Watkins
    • Cole Beasley
    • Michael Crabtree
    • Jordan Matthews
    • Devin Funchess
    • Delanie Walker
    • Tyler Eifert
    • Owen Daniels
    • Richard Rodgers
    • Martellus Bennett
    • New York Jets
  • Disappointments
    • Eli Manning
    • Ryan Tannehill
    • Johnny Manziel
    • Doug Martin
    • Darren Sproles
    • CJ Anderson
    • Rashad Jennings
    • Melvin Gordon
    • Demaryius Thomas
    • Stevie Johnson
    • DeSean Jackson
    • Julius Thomas
    • Jared Cook
    • Kyle Rudolph
    • Heath Miller
    • Zach Ertz
    • Rob Gronkowski
    • Jason Witten
    • Raiders
    • Cowboys
    • Saints
    • Packers
    • Miami


Waiver Wire Moves
  • Standard Leagues
    • Karlos Williams
    • Stevie Johnson
    • Blake Bortles
    • Derek Carr
    • Tony Romo
    • Ben Watson
    • Kamar Aiken
    • Dorial Green-Beckham
    • Ryan Mathews
    • Willie Snead
    • Brandon LaFell
    • Duke Johnson, Jr.
    • Rishard Matthews
    • James Starks
  • Deeper Looks
    • Jay Ajayi
    • Thomas Rawls
    • Jacob Tamme
    • Jay Cutler
    • Richard Rodgers
    • Buck “Javorius” Allen


TNF Match-Up Starts and Sits - Buffalo Bills vs. NY Jets
  • Starts
    • Both Shady McCoy (if he plays), and Karlos Williams
    • Tyrod Taylor
    • Eric Decker
    • Chris Ivory
  • Sits
    • Sammy Watkins

Outro


DONE.