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Showing posts with label Drew. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Drew. Show all posts

Sunday, October 16, 2016

Week 6 Fantasy Football Rankings - Standard and PPR Leagues

Some things to consider when using these rankings:

  • Use at your own risk. I am sharing something I do personally to help me slot players each week. 
  • I DO NOT TAKE OWNERSHIP OR RESPONSIBILITY IN ANY WAY FOR THE DECISIONS YOU MAKE REGARDING FANTASY FOOTBALL. NOR DO I OFFER ANY OFFICIAL ADVICE. Seriously. Be an adult.
  • This is meant to be a guide. If you have a gut feeling that the ranking of a player is too high, or too low, you might be right!
  • There will be a few players that slip through that are on IR, designated as "Out" for the week, etc. See, the thing is, I have a real job, and then I have this hobby. If/when I ever get paid to do this for a living, I can assure you there will be a QA process. Until then, just pay attention, and check the injury reports.
  • You will also sometimes notice that two players, from the same team, in the same position, are ranked - sometimes highly. This is because I use a "Points Against" weighting system when evaluating players. Averages have a "Defensive Weight" added to them, and sometimes, it's substantial. When this happens:
    • Pick the highest rated player, in that position, on that team, that is most likely to play.
    • For example, you own both Isaiah Crowell, and Duke Johnson, Jr. from the Cleveland Browns. Good job - you probably drafted one of these guys as a handcuff. You're smart. In this scenario, both Crowell and Johnson are both highly ranked, because their opponent sucks at stopping the rush. However, Crowell is the #1 overall RB. Continue to be smart by playing Crowell, and sitting Johnson. You do not play both. That would dumb.
    • In unusual circumstances, you might end up playing BOTH players. This is usually in cases of 2 WRs. I generally try to point that out on the podcast.
  • Players are in "Tiers." Technically, according to the way I do the stats, the first and last guys in the same tier are likely to have similar games/stats. The key word there is likely.

- Drew

Saturday, October 8, 2016

Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings - Standard and PPR Leagues

Week 5 Rankings - Standard and PPR.
Here are the Week 5 Rankings, now for both Standard and PPR leagues!

I should point out:

Players in orange are an "injury concern." Some have already been ruled out - like Trevor Siemian, and Cam Newton. Pay attention!

The Carolina WRs are ranked way too highly. You should start Kelvin Benjamin, but Philly Brown is only a deep league dart throw. They just got a HUGE boost from how bad Tampa Bay is against the WR position.

It says it below, but when two players from the same team are both in the same tier, take the highest one that will play. This week, Cameron Brate and Brandon Myers are both Tier 2 TEs. You're playing Brate, and you are NOT playing Myers.

Some things to consider when using these rankings:

  • Use at your own risk,. I am sharing something I do personally to help me slot players each week. 
  • I DO NOT TAKE OWNERSHIP OR RESPONSIBILITY IN ANY WAY FOR THE DECISIONS YOU MAKE REGARDING FANTASY FOOTBALL. NOR DO I OFFER ANY OFFICIAL ADVICE. Seriously. Be an adult.
  • This is meant to be a guide. It's purely by the numbers - no "eye test" involved. If you have a gut feeling that the ranking of a player is too high, or too low, you might be right!
  • There will be a few players that slip through that are on IR, designated as "Out" for the week, etc. See, the thing is, I have a real job, and then I have this hobby. If/when I ever get paid to do this for a living, I can assure you there will be a QA process. Until then, just pay attention, and check the injury reports.
  • You will also sometimes notice that two players, from the same team, in the same position, are ranked - sometimes highly. This is because I use a "Points Against" weighting system when evaluating players. Averages have a "Defensive Weight" added to them, and sometimes, it's substantial. When this happens:
    • Pick the highest rated player, in that position, on that team, that is most likely to play.
    • For example, you own both Isaiah Crowell, and Duke Johnson, Jr. from the Cleveland Browns. Good job - you probably drafted one of these guys as a handcuff. You're smart. In this scenario, both Crowell and Johnson are both highly ranked, because their opponent sucks at stopping the rush. However, Crowell is the #1 overall RB in Week 4 of 2016. Continue to be smart by playing Crowell, and sitting Johnson. You do not play both. That would dumb.
    • In unusual circumstances, you might end up playing BOTH players. This is usually in cases of 2 WRs. I generally try to point that out on the podcast.
  • Players are in "Tiers." Technically, according to the way I do the stats, the first and last guys in the same tier are likely to have similar games/stats. The key word there is likely.
Good Luck!

Drew

Sunday, December 13, 2015

Week 14 Position Rankings - PPR

Link to the rankings is below... PLEASE READ FIRST!!!

Okay. So here they are. I am linking you to my Week 14 Rankings. There are some things I have to clarify first.

These are usually only for me, and therefore, I leave some data in that would normally be "massaged," or taken out. For instance, Owen Daniels ranks near the top of my TE rankings. The reason for that is I use the last 5 weeks of stats as a base for the calculations. Vernon Davis has started getting more involved in the Denver offense (albeit, still not that involved), and Daniels had 1 decent week in the last 5 (skews the rankings).

Add to that the fact that Oakland has not been great against the TE position, and you get a player that is probably ranked too highly. But I know that, and therefore I am able to just "remove" him from the set without actually removing him.

There are some players that are on the IR now. Other guys might be listed as "Out" this week.

What I'm trying to say is...

***USE THESE AT YOUR OWN RISK***

You will still need to look up some things on your own, specifically the injury status of each player.

That being said, these spreadsheets have been GREAT for me this season. Two regular season 1st Place finishes out of two leagues, and the benefit of a bye in both this week, as well.

Enjoy, and leave any feedback in the comments!

2015 - Week 14 Position Rankings


-Drew

Sunday, September 6, 2015

A Quick Update - Drew's Rankings

I thought I would write a quick update...

These things are completely meaningless, but Justin guest hosted last season, I'm Rusty Kuntz, and Jeff is Kaizer Soze.

I was sick as hell this week. Sorry for not being able to record an episode. I am working with Jeff to get a new show recorded ASAP.

Speaking of Jeff, I just finished a draft in a league that we both play in. I am the commissioner of this league, and last year was our inaugural season. We formed a keeper league, so this year is the first year we have gone through that process. The keeper rules are:

  • Each manager may keep a total of 3 players from their roster prior to the draft
    • 1 player will carry a "Franchise" tag. Franchised players will be on that managers roster for a total of 3 years, with no exceptions. That means that if you Franchise tagged Aaron Hernandez a couple of years ago, you still have him for 1 more year. You definitely would NOT want to Franchise tag Peyton Manning, because this might be his last year. I Franchise tagged OBJ this year. Boom.
  • Franchise players may not be traded, or dropped. Regular keepers are allowed to have either option exercised.
  • Each manager will lose the draft pick in the corresponding round the player kept was chosen in the previous year, unless the player was acquired off of the waiver-wire. 
    • Players taken from the waivers will correspond to the last round pick, and subsequently, the second to last round pick. Franchise players will correspond to that round for a total of 3 years.
I picked up OBJ and Jeremy Hill off of the waivers last year, so by keeping them, I lost my 15th and 14th round picks respectively (15 rounds in the draft). I will lose my 16th pick the next two years to keep OBJ. I also kept DeMarco Murray, which I acquired in Round 2 last year. I forfeited my 2nd pick this year to make that happen.

I had the 3rd pick in a snake draft. I put a plan in place for positions to draft based on several mock drafts on Yahoo.com, and particular players I was targeting. I have included my Roster Plan below.

I was never pressed at any time for any of my picks this year. If you ask the others, they'll probably say that I reached for certain players, but I would disagree. 

For instance, I raised Owen Daniels value at TE significantly this year over most analysts, and ADPs. Why? Because Peyton Manning has proven again and again that he likes to throw to the TE, and many of those are TDs. While Jacob Tamme was no Julius Thomas, he didn't exactly suffer while in Denver. Owen Daniels has had to block, and stay on the offensive line, more than release as a receiver, for most of his career. I think Daniels is a top 5 TE, and I wanted him. So I took him where I thought it was appropriate. So what if the next guy thinks you're reaching? He hasn't done the same analysis. Even if he's right, and Daniels is a complete schmo this year, at least I stuck to my guns, and I can defend my choice.

Anyway, I think I ended up with a pretty decent team. You can see it in the completed 2015 Roster Plan. I have also included my rankings. Keep in mind that I do not take TEs, Ds, or Ks into account in the Top 200 (more like 180). I just consult the position rankings when I get to the round I am targeting.

Jeff and I will talk about our draft, and plenty of other things. Other things include FAAB Dollars, and the ESPN website. Also, Week 1 Starts/Sits are coming. Holy shit people. It's time for football!

Done.

-Drew